The Department of Science and Technology–Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (DOST-PAGASA) has warned that the current Strong El Niño in the Tropical Pacific is expected to intensify into a Very Strong El Niño between September and December 2026 and persist through the first half of 2027.

PAGASA said the phenomenon could bring warmer temperatures and below-normal rainfall across most parts of the Philippines, increasing the risk of agricultural dry spells and drought.

The resulting rainfall deficits could affect food production, water resources, energy generation, public health and other climate-sensitive sectors.

However, PAGASA stressed that short periods of heavy rainfall may still occur despite the generally dry conditions, particularly over the western section of the country, due to the Southwest Monsoon or Habagat and tropical cyclones.

DOST Secretary Renato U. Solidum Jr. urged government agencies, local government units and climate-sensitive sectors to take early, data-driven measures.

“Climate information must be utilized before a crisis strikes,” Solidum said, citing the importance of adjusting farming schedules and preparing communities, infrastructure and essential services ahead of the projected impacts.

PAGASA Administrator Dr. Nathaniel V. Servando, meanwhile, assured the public that the agency will continue monitoring the phenomenon and providing science-based forecasts and timely advisories to support preparedness and response.

PAGASA urged authorities and the public to immediately implement water conservation and other mitigation measures as it continues to monitor developments in the Pacific.